Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2012
I. 2
II.
4
III.
? 22
IV. 28
30
2012
I.
/I.
2012
,
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2012
Bloomberg, 2011
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Banco do Brasil, Itau Unibanco Holdings Banco
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10
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2012
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11
2012
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2012
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Bank
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2010 .)
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I I . /
13
2012
,
20062010
( 3). . 2010 8,02%,
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.
.
Bloomberg, State Bank of India 2011
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14
/ I I .
2012
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15
2012
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Bank of China). ( 3 ) ,
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.
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2007
.
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Construction Bank (CCB), Bank of China (BOC) Agricultural Bank of
China (ABC). 2010 15,39%, 12,36%,
11,97% 11,82% .
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16
/ I I .
2012
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17
2012
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18
/ I I .
2012
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19
2012
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20
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2010
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2008
2007
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2.5
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21
2012
III.
22
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2012
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23
2012
5. Z (
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2010
2009
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( )
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24
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25
2012
Zijt = + 1 jt + 2 it +
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26
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27
2012
IV.
28
/ I V .
2012
.
, 142
2003 2010 . .
-
.
.
,
,
.
12
, - .
Banco do Brasil, , State
Bank of India Bank of China .
, ( ), .
.
(75%)
.
, ,
.
, .
. ,
.
:
, Ph.D.
(
SIEMS)
:
,
SIEMS)
Ph.D.
:
siems@skolkovo.ru
I V . /
29
2012
30
2012
1.
(.
)
Banco do Brasil
481,179,275
0.0144
0.0681
0.0643
0.6786
447,925,211
0.0189
0.0814
0.0856
0.5817
Banco Bradesco
378,149,672
0.0159
0.0705
0.0761
0.6059
: 10
( ).
114,718,475
0.0159
0.0698
0.0936
0.6744
213,124,280
0.0157
0.0653
0.0914
0.6149
: Bankscope .
2.
(.
)
283,116,940
0.0211
0.0781
0.1144
0.8065
140,791,873
0.0128
0.0517
0.1348
0.6083
: 10
( ).
45,237,983
0.0142
0.0470
0.0853
0.7670
49,727,035
0.0110
0.0528
0.1121
0.7273
: Bankscope .
3.
(.
)
369,070,181
0.0068
0.0483
0.0525
0.7619
ICICI Bank
119,544,880
0.0118
0.0791
0.1062
0.6482
Punjab National
Bank
86,513,734
0.0117
0.0406
0.0593
0.8787
: 10
( ).
302,026,947
0.0083
0.0216
0.0563
0.8495
301,015,216
0.0065
0.0243
0.0528
0.8647
: Bankscope .
31
2012
4.
(.
)
ICBC
2,032,134,307
0.0123
0.0280
0.0611
0.9131
China Construction
Bank
1,632,263,396
0.0125
0.0301
0.0648
0.9107
Bank of China
1,579,348,206
0.0105
0.0255
0.0646
0.8666
Agricultural Bank of
China
1,560,857,967
0.0092
0.0283
0.0525
0.9198
: 10
( ).
1,560,857,967
0.0052
0.0178
0.0538
0.8768
1,438,921,949
0.0072
0.0203
0.0575
0.8503
: Bankscope .
5. Z :
(1)
(2)
(3)
Ln()
-1.384***
-1.441**
--
[-5.71]
[-2.36]
27.856***
27.482***
[5.3]
[4.13]
6.690**
8.481**
[2.35]
[2.59]
--
0.063
----
[0.42]
--
-0.288
--
[-0.21]
--
0.971
--
[1.03]
:
--
--
--
--
--
--
0.478
[1.22]
-0.028
[-0.1]
0.804***
[3.57]
32
-20.378**
-18.831**
-19.47*
[-2.05]
[-1.91]
[-1.95]
2012
0.317**
0.297**
0.282*
[2.17]
[2.02]
[1.92]
-0.61
-0.534
-0.603
[1.33]
[-1.18]
[-1.31]
0.073
0.065
0.071
[1.48]
[1.34]
[1.44]
-1.503***
-1.399***
-1.272**
[-3.11]
[-3.11]
[2.52]
-0.001
-0.019
-0.108
[-0.01]
[-0.14]
[-0.82]
-0.694
-0.321
0.228
[-0.79]
[-0.34]
[0.19]
-2.023
-2.293
-4.482***
[-1.12]
[-1.26]
[-2.83]
0.964
0.517
0.327
[1.54]
[0.62]
[0.39]
-0.382
-0.194
-0.518
[-0.86]
[-0.4]
[-1.01]
22.48***
22.354***
6.018***
[5.6]
[2.9]
[2.79]
349
349
349
133
133
133
R- ( )
0.34
0.352
0.332
Log()
Log()
/
/
33
2012
Beck, Demirg-Kunt, and Levine, 2006. Bank concentration, competition, and crises: First results, Journal of
Banking and Finance 30, 1581-1603.
Demirguc-Kunt, A., Kane, E., Laeven, L., 2008. Determinants of deposit insurance adoption and design, Journal
of Financial Intermediation 17, 407-438.
Djankov, S., McLiesh, C., Shleifer, A., 2007. Private credit in 129 countries, Journal of Financial Economics 84,
299-329.
Foos, D., Norden, I., Weber, M., 2010. Loan growth and riskiness of banks, Journal of Banking and Finance 34,
2929-2940.
Global systemically important banks: Assessment methodology and the additional loss absorbency requirement,
consultative document, Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, July 2011.
Houston, Lin, Lin, and Ma, 2010. Creditor rights, information sharing, and bank risk taking, Journal of Financial
Economics 96 (2010), 485-512.
Laeven, Luc and Fabian Valencia, 2008. Systemic Banking Crises: A New Database, IMF Working Paper.
Laeven, Luc and Fabian Valencia, 2010. Resolution of Banking Crises: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly, IMF
working paper 10/146.
Mohan, Rakesh, 2006. Reforms, productivity and efficiency in banking: The Indian experience, The Reserve Bank
of India Bulletin, March 2006.
Qu, Baozhi, 2011. World Financial Crisis and Emerging Market Bank Performance: A Bank Efficiency Study, The
Skolkovo Institute for Emerging Markets Studies, monthly reports, September 2011.
Peoples Republic of China: Financial System Stability Assessment, International Monetary Fund (IMF), November
2011.
Russian Federation: Financial System Stability Assessment, International Monetary Fund (IMF), September 2011.
34
2012
:
09-01 : ( 2009).
09-02 . ( 2009).
09-03 : ( 2009).
09-04 :
( 2009).
09-05 : (FDI) ( 2009).
09-06 ?
( 2009).
09-07 : ( 2009).
10-01 : ? ( 2010).
10-02 : ?
( 2010).
10-03
( 2010).
10-04
( 2010).
10-05 ( 2010).
10-06 : ( 2010).
10-07 ?
? ( 2010).
11-01 : 100
? ( 2011).
11-02 , : ( 2011).
11-03 : ( 2011).
11-04 ( 2011).
11-05 :
( 2011).
11-06 :
( 2011).
11-07 ( 2011).
11-08 : ( 2011).
11-09 : ( 2011).
11-10 , - :
35
( 2011).
11-11 ( 2011).
12-01 SIEMS ( 2012).
12-02 ( 2012).
:
10-01 2030 : C
( 2010).
10-02 .
: ? ( 2010).
10-03 . ( 2010).
10-04 : ( 2010).
11-01 . , ( 2011).
11-02 ( 2011).
11-03 .
( 2011).
2012
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2006
Executive Education
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2009 Fulltime MBA.
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.: +7 495 580 30 03
: +7 495 994 46 68
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SIEMS ,
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, 100101,
Unit 1607-1608, North Star Times Tower
No. 8 Beichendong Road, Chaoyang District
./: +86 10 6498 1634
info@skolkovo.ru
www.skolkovo.ru
/
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E-mail: moscow@ru.ey.com
Website: www.ey.com
,
. , . , 100
.: +7 495 580 30 03
: +7 495 994 46 68
info@skolkovo.ru
www.skolkovo.ru
, 100101,
Unit 1607-1608, North Star Times Tower
No. 8 Beichendong Road, Chaoyang District
./: +86 10 6498 1634